Tiglath
2022-01-20 17:46:12 UTC
Ancient soldiers ran fast to close in with the enemy to avoid on-coming missiles meant to soften their ranks with arrows, slingshots, javelins, catapults and other artillery. Modern armies and navies did the same before mounting an assault. The pounding was prelude to battle, and integral part of war.
Technology has changed all that. The reverse side of the computer coin, is a new kind of artillery. Before real, conventional war starts, hackers pound the target with all kinds of explosive software. But curiously, it is not considered an act of war just because it's a sneak attack.
Is there really a need to determine who is behind the cyber attacks on Ukraine?
Can the Kremlin's denials exempt them of culpability and free them from consequences? Yes.
No need for Russia to deploy General Winter against its foes anymore. Just attack their power grid in January with cyber worms and viruses.
Putin is no Trump, he is no dumb fuck wannabe dictator, but a chess master who knows how to exploit not only his opponent's weaknesses but also his strengths against itself.
Having feathered his nest like nobody before for the last twenty years, Putin's only choice is to rule or die. Who knows what the next Russian dictator might do to him if he were to lose his leadership position. So far he has been terribly successful. Obama was no match. And I fear nobody is at this moment.
Russia learned in Afghanistan that outright invasion is not what it used to be. But it has other ways. Like they did in Georgia, they encourage local minority factions that favor Russia to take the initiative and start the violence, and when the majority counter-attacks, Russia rushes in to support the underdog and 'make peace.' Expect something along these lines in Ukraine.
Timing is great, because the EU and the US are reeling from the pandemic and disunity. Putin senses they, again, don't have the inclination for a hot war on top of things, because if leave principle out, the cost-benefit analysis of an intervention is less than enticing.
Ukraine may well soon lose another slice of the country, or worse.
I hope I am dead wrong.
Technology has changed all that. The reverse side of the computer coin, is a new kind of artillery. Before real, conventional war starts, hackers pound the target with all kinds of explosive software. But curiously, it is not considered an act of war just because it's a sneak attack.
Is there really a need to determine who is behind the cyber attacks on Ukraine?
Can the Kremlin's denials exempt them of culpability and free them from consequences? Yes.
No need for Russia to deploy General Winter against its foes anymore. Just attack their power grid in January with cyber worms and viruses.
Putin is no Trump, he is no dumb fuck wannabe dictator, but a chess master who knows how to exploit not only his opponent's weaknesses but also his strengths against itself.
Having feathered his nest like nobody before for the last twenty years, Putin's only choice is to rule or die. Who knows what the next Russian dictator might do to him if he were to lose his leadership position. So far he has been terribly successful. Obama was no match. And I fear nobody is at this moment.
Russia learned in Afghanistan that outright invasion is not what it used to be. But it has other ways. Like they did in Georgia, they encourage local minority factions that favor Russia to take the initiative and start the violence, and when the majority counter-attacks, Russia rushes in to support the underdog and 'make peace.' Expect something along these lines in Ukraine.
Timing is great, because the EU and the US are reeling from the pandemic and disunity. Putin senses they, again, don't have the inclination for a hot war on top of things, because if leave principle out, the cost-benefit analysis of an intervention is less than enticing.
Ukraine may well soon lose another slice of the country, or worse.
I hope I am dead wrong.